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CASE CHAPTER OF SIGMA XI

 

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The Art and Science of 

Political Polling

Featuring:
Dr. Karl Kaltenhaler (Dept. of Political Science, U. of Akron) 
Dr. Daniel Coffey (Dept. of Political Science, U. of Akron)

Date: August 11, 2008
Time: Drinks start at 6:30 PM, discussion starts around 7:00 PM
Location: Tasting Room, Great Lakes Brewing Company (2701 Carroll Ave, Cleveland)

In this contentious election year, it is difficult to turn on the radio or television set without hearing news of George Bush's latest approval ratings or the number of Americans favoring the Democratic or the Republican candidate in November's election. Have you ever wondered how these political public opinion polls are done?  Or what contributes to their success or failure in predicting election results?  In this month's Science Café we'll discuss how polling is done in the US and around the world and what influences the usefulness of the data that we get from such polls.

Join Karl Kaltenhaler, Professor of Political Science and Director of the Center for Policy Studies at the University of Akron, and Dr. Daniel Coffey, Assistant Professor of Political Science at Akron and Fellow at the Ray Bliss Institute of Applied Politics, to find out how well political polls can predict the future!

If you have a few minutes, you can "prepare" for the café by checking out these Scientific American articles:

How can a poll of only 1,004 Americans represent 260 million people with only a 3 percent margin of error?

Super Tuesday: Markets Predict Outcome Better Than Polls

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